North and Central Texas

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible today along a dryline and cold front. This afternoon in the northeast, huge hail and tornadoes will be the highest threat. Otherwise, large hail and damaging wind gusts are the main threats. Localized heavy rainfall may lead to flash flooding, especially over areas saturated from recent rainfall.

A cold front will push across North and Central Texas on Thursday providing a focus for thunderstorm development Thursday afternoon into early Thursday evening. Many will likely remain dry, especially north of I-20. A few severe thunderstorms will be possible along and south of I-20, which can primarily produce giant hail and damaging wind gusts. We will also need to monitor the potential for excessive rainfall and localized flash flooding since we expect the bulk of this rain to fall over already water-logged areas.

A Thursday cold front will drop temperatures below average for Mother’s Day weekend, with highs mainly in the mid-upper 70s. As rain and storm chances return, Mother’s Day may be damp.

Today and Tonight

There is a chance of storms this afternoon and evening, mainly along and east of I-35. Some storms may be severe, with giant hail and damaging winds. A tornado or two may also occur.

Thursday through Tuesday

There is a chance of thunderstorms Thursday afternoon and evening, primarily along and south of the I-20 corridor. Some storms may be severe, significant to giant hail, damaging winds, and perhaps a tornado. Locally heavy rain may also cause flooding in some areas.

Storm chances will return on Sunday and continue through Tuesday.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

The National Weather Service could request limited spotter activation this afternoon and evening along and east of I-35.

South Central and Southwest Arkansas, North Central and Northwest Louisiana, Southeast Oklahoma, and East and Northeast Texas

There’s an Enhanced Risk for Level 3 of 5 and a Slight Risk for Level 2 of 5 for severe thunderstorms across most of the Four-State Region later today, this evening, and into the overnight hours tonight. Damaging thunderstorm wind gusts and large hail will be the primary threats, followed by an isolated tornado threat.

Another threat of severe thunderstorms late Thursday into Thursday night will cover much of Northeast Texas, Southwest Arkansas, and Northern Louisiana. Damaging thunderstorm wind gusts and large hail will be the main threats, though an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. Excessive heavy rainfall will be possible, too, mainly near and south of the I-20 Corridor of Northeast Texas into Northern Louisiana.

Rain chances today will be mainly confined to near and northwest of the I-30 Corridor, which includes Northeast Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, and Southwest Arkansas.

It will be another hot, humid day across the Four-State Region, with afternoon high temperatures ranging from the upper 80s to the lower 90s.

Today and Tonight

An isolated thunderstorm or two will be possible late this afternoon and evening. If any thunderstorms develop, gusty winds, hail, and frequent lightning are the primary threats.

Wednesday through Monday

Expect isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms to increase Wednesday afternoon and evening over East Texas and North Louisiana ahead of a weak cold front and associated upper-level disturbance. Some of these storms may become severe before diminishing late. Additional showers and thunderstorms should redevelop Thursday afternoon and evening over the region near the slow-moving front, with the severe weather threat again possible over these areas. It will diminish Thursday night as the front shifts south of the region.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Do not expect spotter activation at this time.