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A Risk For Thunderstorms

North and Central Texas

We’ll be closely monitoring a dryline to our west this afternoon and evening. Expect thunderstorms to form along it and move east. While most of the activity will likely stay across Oklahoma, a few storms could affect the northern counties, particularly those north of I-20. It’s important to note that developing storms could bring significant hail and damaging winds, and there’s even a slight chance of tornadoes.

Periodic chances for showers and thunderstorms will continue through next week. Strong to severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall will be possible, particularly on Monday and Wednesday afternoon and evening. Expect temperatures in the mid-80s to near 90 degrees by Tuesday and Wednesday next week. A late-week cold front will bring temperatures closer to normal for Mother’s Day weekend.

Today and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening across North and Central Texas, and isolated severe thunderstorms are likely near and north of Highway 380. The main threats will be large hail and damaging wind gusts.

Tuesday through Sunday

Scattered thunderstorms are possible Wednesday and Thursday afternoon and evening, generally near and east of I-35/35W. Large hail and damaging wind gusts are the main threats.

Due to recent rain, localized heavy rainfall may lead to flash flooding over incredibly oversaturated areas.

Daily storm chances return this weekend. A few thunderstorms could be vital to severe on Sunday.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Do not expect spotter activation at this time.

South Central and Southwest Arkansas, North Central and Northwest Louisiana, Southeast Oklahoma, and East and Northeast Texas

Mostly scattered daytime showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the Four-State Region today. The activity will occur in Northeast Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, Southwest Arkansas, and Northwest Louisiana.

There’s a Slight Risk of Level 2 of 5 for severe thunderstorms across most areas north of a line from Lufkin to Monroe. The most significant risk will be Wednesday afternoon into early Thursday. Tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail will be possible.

Today and Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms are possible later this afternoon through early this evening. While we cannot rule out a stray severe storm, the best chance for severe thunderstorms exists late tonight, mainly north and west of the I-30 corridor, which includes Southeast Oklahoma, far Northeast Texas, and portions of Southwest Arkansas.

Tuesday through Sunday

Additional probabilities of strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible late Wednesday into Thursday and Thursday Night. A cold front will begin pushing into the region from the northwest, and severe thunderstorms will be possible with and in advance of this feature. In addition to severe weather chances, locally heavy rain will likely be late Wednesday through Thursday.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Do not expect spotter activation at this time.